A confidential polling memo from a Democratic-aligned firm has surfaced, suggesting former President Donald Trump may be on the verge of an electoral landslide, the likes of which Republicans haven’t achieved since the 1980s.
The revelation comes from leaked data by OpenLabs, highlighting significant shifts in support for President Biden, especially in states previously considered solid blue.
Key Findings
Declining Support for Biden
The data indicates President Biden has lost substantial ground in the past week, putting once-secure states in jeopardy. According to the memo, Biden’s performance in the recent debate has led to a 2 percentage point decline in his support across several states. (RELATED: Trump Leads Biden In Historic New Jersey Poll, Sending Democrats Reeling)
Competitive Blue-Leaning States in Play
The most concerning finding for Democrats is that Trump now leads, within the margin of error, in states such as New Hampshire, Virginia and New Mexico.
- Virginia: Biden’s pre-debate lead of 1.5% has turned into a 0.6% deficit.
- New Hampshire: Trump’s lead has expanded from 0.5% pre-debate to 2.8%.
- New Mexico: Once considered a Biden stronghold, now shows a 0.5% Trump lead.
Impact on Other States
Other states are also showing alarming trends for Biden:
- Colorado: Biden’s edge dropped from 3.7% to 1.9%.
- Minnesota: Biden’s advantage dwindled from 2.4% to a mere 0.4%.
- Maine: Biden’s lead is now only 0.2%.
Comparative Performance of Other Democrats
Notably – and most likely the reason for the leak – the memo also reveals that other Democratic figures such as Kamala Harris, Gretchen Whitmer, Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg are outperforming Biden in crucial battleground states. (RELATED: 5 Democrats Who Could Replace Biden If Party Goes Nuclear)
Democrats no doubt hope this points to a broader issue with Biden’s candidacy rather than a generalized decline for their party.
Implications of the Data
The memo was prepared by OpenLabs, a progressive nonprofit that specializes in polling and message-testing for Democratic groups. Although not widely known to the public, OpenLabs’ data-driven insights are highly regarded within Democratic circles and are often shared among a select group of clients and strategists.
The Context of the Leak
The data was leaked to liberal journalist Peter Hamby, who reported that the memo has been “circulating among anxious Democrats” following Biden’s disastrous debate performance.
The timing of the leak suggests Democratic Party insiders desperately want the party to reassess its strategy and consider alternative candidates who may have a better chance of beating Trump.
Conclusion
The data paints an ominous picture for Biden’s reelection campaign, indicating vulnerabilities in states that were once considered safely Democratic. The comparative strength of other Democratic candidates in battleground states further complicates the landscape, signaling a possible shift in strategy as the election approaches.
Read Hambly’s article here.
Article Published With The Permission of American Liberty News.
